Projects civic analytics

NYC Congestion Pricing Analysis

A citywide computer vision study of how congestion pricing changed street-level traffic in New York City, measured from 910 public traffic cameras before and after tolling began in January 2025.

Role
Lead author
Paper
arXiv preprint, 2026
Status
Ongoing, with regular data updates
Interactive map of New York City showing the change in peak observed car count at each traffic camera
The interactive map. Each circle is a traffic camera. Green marks a year-over-year reduction in peak observed car count, red an increase, and circle size the magnitude of the change.

In January 2025, New York City began charging vehicles to enter Manhattan’s Congestion Relief Zone (CRZ), the first program of its kind in the United States. This project measures the policy’s effect directly from the street. A computer vision pipeline counts vehicles in footage from the city’s public traffic cameras, and traffic in the same November 14 to January 4 window is compared before and after the policy, with anomalous periods such as holidays excluded from the baselines.

Method

Four-stage method: a map of the 670 cameras in the comparison and the Congestion Relief Zone, a 352 by 240 NYC DOT camera frame, the per-camera aggregation steps, and a before-and-after scatter of peak observed cars per frame at every camera
From cameras to a before-and-after comparison. YOLO-LR counts vehicles in every frame; each camera's counts are smoothed, averaged by hour of day for weekdays and weekends before and after pricing, and reduced to the peak hourly mean, with holidays excluded. The map and scatter plot show the 670 cameras in the comparison.

Each camera contributes instantaneous vehicle counts from object detection. The counts are aggregated into hourly averages across a typical week, so rush-hour peaks, weekday and weekend patterns, and the before-and-after difference can be compared at every camera and mapped across the city.

Results

  • Traffic fell inside the zone. Peak observed car count per frame dropped 15.8% at cameras within the CRZ.
  • Traffic also fell outside the zone. Cameras outside the CRZ recorded a smaller 10.9% drop in peak observed car count per frame.
  • Changes are resolved camera by camera. The interactive map reports each camera’s change as a percentage or an absolute count, for the whole week, weekdays only, or weekends only.
Strip plot of the per-camera change in peak observed cars, inside and outside the Congestion Relief Zone, and the median change for all week, weekdays, and weekends
Left: change in peak observed cars per frame at each camera, with medians and interquartile ranges. Right: median change inside and outside the zone by day type.

Live view

The analysis is ongoing, with regular updates to track how traffic evolves under the policy over the long term. A companion real-time map shows the camera network as the pipeline processes it.

Real-time map of New York City showing the current vehicle count at each traffic camera
The real-time map shows current vehicle counts at each camera, with separate views for cars, bikes, buses, and trucks.

Limitations

Camera-based vehicle counts are a proxy for traffic, not a direct measure of travel times or congestion. The current pipeline includes stationary vehicles, which can raise measured density on streets with heavy parking, and it measures aggregate flow without separating individual lanes or travel directions.

Project details

Artifacts
arXiv preprint, public Hugging Face dataset, open-source analysis code, an interactive before-and-after map, and a real-time camera map
Keywords
  • Congestion pricing
  • Traffic cameras
  • City-scale computer vision
  • Traffic density
  • Public policy analysis
  • Urban mobility datasets

References

2026

  1. A Vision-Based Analysis of Congestion Pricing in New York City
    A Vision-Based Analysis of Congestion Pricing in New York City
    Mehmet Kerem Turkcan, Jhonatan Tavori, Javad Ghaderi, Gil Zussman, Zoran Kostic, and Andrew Smyth
    Feb 2026

This project was initially supported by compute from the PAWR COSMOS testbed at Columbia University. This work began while I was a postdoc in the Department of Electrical Engineering (AIDL Lab) at Columbia University. Currently the project continues using resources of the NSF ENG Center for Smart Streetscapes (CS3).